Monthly Archives: May 2007

Ramblings

Posted by Dan

When the season started, and Alex Rodriguez hit 14 HR in the month of April, my first reaction was “Finally, that will shut up the useless New York media and he’ll get the credit he is due as maybe the best player of this generation.” But, upon thinking about it, I realized that when he stops hitting a HR every 6 ABs, they are going to be all over him again. In fact, I want to go on record and predict that when he doesn’t hit 6 HR in the first round of the MLB playoffs, the media will call him Mr. April and say he still can only produce when it doesn’t count.

Also, check this link out for a sweet story

http://homerderby.com/archives/446

Doug Melvin woke me up this morning

Posted by Steve

That’s correct.  I awoke, and upon ringing out the cobwebs, realized that I was hearing the wily Canadian.  My first thought was, ‘I really need to get a life, this is like my third dream about the Brewers in a month.’  Eventually though I realized that it wasn’t a dream; the alarm went off at 9:19 this morning, and I had my radio set to the sports radio station from the last time I listened to a Brewers game.  After a minute I figured out that Melvin was on The Tony Bruno Show, some generic national sports talk show.  But the bottom line is that I was woken by Doug Melvin’s voice, and that’s kind of awesome.

Now that we’ve gotten that out of the way, I’m going to head in another direction. Guy made the following comment on my post from a few days ago:

On May 4 you wrote this and it keeps getting better May 8 22-10. If my calculations are right this team can play .500 baseball the rest of the year and will finish with 87 wins. Play .575 here on out and finish with 97 (rounded up). Dare I say keep playing at the same pace of .688 and finish with 111? Only time will tell but lets ride this for all its worth! Go Brewers!

First of all, thanks for crunching the numbers so I didn’t have to do it myself. Second of all, I still don’t feel like crunching the numbers myself, so I’ll take your word for it and assume those calculations are correct (no real reason to doubt them anyway).  I’ve seen a few people make this argument recently, and I think it’s a great point.

Even if the Brewers really only have “the talent of an 85-win team,” they have gotten off to the a start of a 110-win team. In other words, if they play how they were originally “supposed to” from this point forward, that is, to the level of an 85-ish win team, they’ll end up with over 90 wins (and a probable playoff birth) simply because of their great start.  And as he points out, the most encouraging part is that the Brewers can simply play .500 from this point and finish with 87 wins, or four more than the NL Central and World Series Champion St. Louis Cardinals last season.  Put that in your pipe and smoke it.

Life as we know it will cease to exist…

Posted by Steve

…If Roger Clemens faces Daisuke Matsuzaka this season.  We might as well pencil the Yankees into the playoffs now that they have their 44-year old $28 million savior, but first things first.  Will anyone be able to escape the death grasp of the hype machine if The Rocket ever faces Dice-K?

The sports world pretty much stopped when Clemens melodramatically unveiled himself to adoring fans at Yankee stadium.  Sportscenter devoted its first 15 minutes or so to the story, and prognosticators are already making their predictions on how Clemens will perform in pinstripes.

Once you get past the fact that his name is Roger Clemens, the humor of this signing is evident.  Clemens had a great season last year, but he really isn’t more than a six-inning pitcher at this point.  The Yankees are on pace to destroy their bullpen by August, and they paid someone who has two complete games in the last six seasons a boatload of money.  Take into account his age and his switch to the A.L., and there is no way he’s worth half of the 28 mil, even in baseball terms.  I just don’t see him as a savior the way some do.

There’s No Such Things as a Pitching Prospect…

Posted by Dan

But if there was, one of the games best would be making his debut tomorrow, S.F. Giants Super Prospect Tim Lincecum. Lincecum has simply dominated the Pacific Coast League, to the tune of a 0.29 ERA and 0.74 WHIP. In 31 innings, he has struck out 46 and walked 11. The Pacific Coast League is considered to be a hitters league as well, making those numbers even more outstanding. Interestingly enough, there is another pitcher making PCL hitters look nearly as foolish as Lincecum, and his name is Yovanni Gallardo. The Brewers prospect is the current owner of a 2.70 ERA and a 0.93 WHIP in 30 innings. He’s also struck out 42 and walked just 8. Despite the fact the Brewers pitching staff is pitching very well right now, (5th in MLB with a 3.49 ERA) it will be tough to leave Gallardo in Nashville for the entire season.

ESPN’s Sunday Night Baseball features Lincecum’s start tomorrow night, and you’ll also get some timeless commentary from Joe Morgan.

Dicyoungka Matsuzake

Posted by Dan

Something I found interesting, that you may not have seen anywhere since it is just not being covered, is that Red Sox Hero Daisuke Matsuzaka pitched terribly today vs Seattle. 5 Innings, 7 Earned, 1 K, 5 BB. The interesting part is that it is not on the ESPN page, or, if you click on “MLB” it’s not on the MLB Front Page either. I don’t care and will gladly go without constant “Dice-K” updates, but if he had pitched well, I’m sure it would be the ESPN Main Headline, giant picture and constant Baseball Tonight Updates from John Kruk. The only reason I even found out he pitched terribly is because I wanted to see how a couple of guys did in that game for fantasy purposes.

Also, in the same Fantasy Football Draft lottery as Stev-o, I lucked into the 11th pick for the second year in a row. Looking way ahead, and overstepping my bounds by writing about Fantasy Football, I dont mind picking there. I obviously miss out on LT, Stephen Jackson and Larry Johnson, but I can get two guys who I have in my top 14 which is pretty good. I mean, I made the playoffs last year taking Randy Moss (Rd. 3) and Daunte Culpepper (Rd. 6), so I think that proves my fantasy prowess. Either that or totally disproves it because I drafted those guys in the first place. You decide.

Oh, this? This is just a random, intangible occurence.

Posted by Steve

I don’t even feel like I should talk about the Brewers right now, as if acting like they aren’t playing great will make it continue. As you were, Wisconsinites. Nothing to see here… Just the same old crappy Brewers. We’re just messing around.

But anyways. It scares me to think that the Brewers already have the best record in the bigs, and they have the Pirates and Nats coming to town. I keep thinking back to last year’s eight-game losing streak which included sweeps by each of these two teams.

On the other hand, it’s a different year and a different team. I like the pitching match-ups this series, and three straight lefties should get Bill Hall going again. There’s no reason to think J.J. Hardy won’t continue to mash either.

I’m expecting to see Good Dave Bush tonight at home coming off a poor start.   Turnbow and Cordero are rested, but it would be nice to give the rest of the pen a day off.  Seven strong from Bush, then Turnbow and Cordero sounds about right to me.

In other news, add Mike Piazza to the list of walking-wounded players on my fantasy team.  With two more injured players than DL spots, I was forced to drop Piazza.  Whatever.  At least I just won the first pick in our fantasy football lottery (LT! LT!).

If you can’t take the heat, you’d best be gettin’ out of the kitchen!

Posted by Steve

Wrapping up April

Posted by Steve

I just watched the Brewers handle the (understandably) shaky Cardinals on ESPN. I must say it was difficult to breathe during the game because I was smothered by Brewer love. Baseball Tonight is currently on in the background, and the Brewers brown-nosing is continuing. What a weird feeling…

You couldn’t have realistically hoped for a better start from the Crew.
The pitching has been outstanding, save for a few middle relievers. The offense has been near the top of the NL as well. Here’s a quick look back at April.

Hitter of the Month

This is a debatable decision, which is a good sign. Geoff Jenkins comes close with his .944 OPS (ya think he benefits from the platoon?), Kevin Mench is sitting at .890 (see Jenkins) and Prince Fielder has supplied some power. I have to give to nod to J.J. Hardy though, mainly because his contribution has been a pleasant surprise. His power has been the big surprise, as his six home runs is tied for the team lead and his slugging percentage is higher than Bill Hall’s and Prince Fielder’s. He has been the ideal two-hole hitter, and he’s also been very good defensively.

Pitcher of the Month

Jeff Suppan has made a great case for it, as he has consistently pitched deep into games and saved the bullpen. So far so good on Doug Melvin’s prized acquisition. Turnbow’s resurgence has been huge, as the Brewers have not blown a game when leading after seven innings. But neither of these guys get it, because you can’t get better than perfect. Closer Francisco Cordero is 10-10 in save opportunities with 19 strikeouts in 11.1 innings and a nice, fat 0.00 ERA. The Turnbow-Cordero 1-2 punch has been the best in baseball so far, and Coco’s made Doug Melvin look like a genius.

A quick word of caution to those who are already thinking playoffs. First of all, it’s only one month. It’s soooo early. There was a discussion a couple days ago at brewerfan about this exact topic: At the moment the Brewers have only outscored opponents by three runs. It’s obviously good that they are winning close games, but if the run differential doesn’t increase, the W-L record will even out. Also, the team has stayed healthy so far, but injuries are inevitable. You’d like to think their improved depth will be able to cover the injuries, but we won’t know until it happens.

That’s all I can say to temper the enthusiasm. What’s so encouraging is that Bill Hall and Ben Sheets are taking a while to get going, and it’s safe to say they will improve. They also have some great talent waiting in AAA, as Ryan Braun and Yo Gallardo are both pwning and could be called up at any point. Braun is already the best option at third, but that’s for a different post (which I’ve written multiple times, coincidentally).

If we learned anything from April, it’s that the Brewers should at least be fun to watch throughout the summer. That’s more than you could say about them in recent history.