Monthly Archives: October 2008

This post in a nutshell: Brewers 2008 Season=Good; MLB Managers=Bad

Posted by Steve

Well, that’s a wrap. I was at the game Sunday, and seeing them get eliminated wasn’t as bad as I feared. It was great to be at a Brewer playoff game. The atmosphere was awesome, even after the Brewers fell behind. The Brewers’ first playoff appearance in 26 years sure didn’t last long, but considering it was a season full of gut-punches, I really appreciate them not being eliminated in a similar fashion. Everyone was 95% sure the game was over after about the fourth inning, so that made it less heartbreaking.

I’m finding it difficult to assess the season overall. I prefer to break it into three sections.

The first is the vast majority of the season, up until September. That section was definitely a success. The Brewers finished August with a record of 80-56 and looked to be cruising to at least a 92-win season and an easy playoff berth.

The second is the first three weeks of September, which was an abject nightmare. The offense collectively fell apart—it was the worst team plate discipline I’ve ever seen for that long of a stretch. Ben Sheets got injured. Jeff Suppan was terrible. Sal Torress melted down. Philadelphia swept a four-game series to tie the Brewers for the wildcard. This stretch got Ned Yost fired, and it looked like the Brewers were going to choke away a playoff appearance. The absolute low was losing game three of the Cubs series in Wrigley by blowing a four run lead in the ninth with two outs. This stretch had me and many Brewer fans cursing the fact that they cared about this team. If it weren’t for the Mets choking even more, this stretch would have cost the Brewers a playoff spot.

I’ll label the third section as only the final week of the season. The Brewers won six of their last seven games; four were in dramatic fashion. Prince Fielder hit a walk-off homer. Ryan Braun hit a walk-off grand slam. And it all culminated with the greatest day to be a Brewer fan since I’ve been alive: Sunday, September 28. Even though in reality the Brewers choked in September, this day erased all of that easily. It made the Sabathia trade worth giving up some very good players for a rental. For me personally, anyway, it made all the awful seasons of the last 10-15 years worth sticking around for that day.

Because of that day, you have to consider the season a success. I had the Brewers pegged at 90 wins, and in a roundabout way, they accomplished that goal. I won’t call it an outstanding season though. It’s a shame the Brewers played poorly down the stretch and in the playoffs. It’s also a shame we received one last parting gift from an unemployed Ned Yost: an injured Ben Sheets. Ned worked Sheets like a dog this season and in the last few. Letting a guy who hadn’t pitched a full season since 2004 finish eighth in Pitcher Abuse is insanity (not as much as the Giants letting Lincecum finish number one, but still insanity), and it helped to eliminate Sheets from a playoff rotation. With Sheets, the series against the Phillies is completely different, and the Brewers would have had a great shot to make the World Series

As for next year, the Brewers will likely look a lot different. I have all offseason to get into that, but for now I’ll say I am not interested in bringing back Dale Sveum. No manager can prove anything in 15 games except that he’s not incompetent, and I’ll admit he isn’t incompetent. However, sitting in the stands on Sunday made up my mind that he should be gone. I can understand not starting Yovani Gallardo if you feel you’ve pushed him as much as you should; in fact, I endorse it. But when Yo came into the game in relief I was irate. Why on Earth would you start Jeff Suppan if Gallardo was able to pitch? Even if Gallardo could have only gone three innings, you still have to start him and keep the team in the game. Starting Suppan was a recipe for disaster, and he should have only been used as the last option.

Secondly, the game would have had a better result if Ned Yost was the manager, because Yost used the intentional walk on the rarest of occasions. Intentionally walking Ryan Howard was without a doubt a terrible move. To prove this isn’t just in hindsight, I still have the text message saved on my phone that I sent at 12:59 p.m. before the Burrell home run: “Why IBB Howard to pitch to Burrell? Burrell could easily go deep and we’ll give them an extra run.” And I didn’t even know Burrell was 10-22 lifetime against Suppan—Sveum surely did, and walked Howard anyway. To do this in a playoff game when you aren’t even the manager who got them there should be a fatal mistake. Like I said, this wouldn’t have happened if Yost was the manager, and it was one of just a few things I liked about Ned.

Of course, the sad reality is that it really doesn’t matter if Sveum is brought back, because I won’t like him anyway. Watching the Angels-Red Sox last night, I was appalled by the way Mike Scioscia handled the ninth inning. The Angels led off the inning with a double in a tie game. Rather than give his team three chances to hit in the go-ahead run, he immediately gave away an out by sac bunting. That’s bad, but at least they still had two chances to hit the runner in from third. Infomercial voice: But wait! There’s more! He brought it down to one chance by calling a suicide squeeze. If the hitter cannot get the bunt down, your go-ahead runner is dead, and that’s exactly what happened. He turned three chances to get the leading run home (runner on second, nobody out) into one chance to get him home (successful squeeze). Scioscia’s defense for it was that a 2-0 count “was a good count for a squeeze.” Well ya know what, Mike? A 2-0 count is also a great count for hitting!

That was just terrible, but it gets better. In the bottom of the ninth, when any sort of run from the Red Sox ends your season, he sent out Scot Shields for a second inning of work. Let me repeat. The Angels were ELIMINATED FROM THE PLAYOFFS without using K-Rod, their best relief pitcher, because it WASN’T A SAVE SITUATION. And Mike Scioscia is widely considered one of the best managers in baseball.

This is why I say I won’t like whoever they bring in, because I want a manager who is not archaic in baseball strategy and married to “the book.” That is, I want a manager who will not use a closer only if the team has a 1-3 run lead in the ninth inning, but rather as a relief ace who will pitch in high-leverage situations. I want a manager who will sac bunt, hit and run and issue intentional walks in the rarest of occasions. By now you’ve probably reached the same conclusion I have: The Brewers ain’t hiring a manager like this. They’ll either rehire Sveum or, more likely, bring in some rehashed manager who’s been fired from a couple previous jobs because he has “experience,” even if that’s just experience in bad strategy.

There are hardly any managers in baseball who don’t go by the book. This is how the game was played years ago, and since pretty much all managers are former players, they manage the way they played. It’s a vicious cycle that may never end.

If you can’t tell, I have a lot of thoughts on this season. This post was supposed to just gloss over Sveum’s performance Sunday, and it turned into a long rant. I’ll cut it off here, but in the coming weeks I have a lot to go over to illustrate why this season could have been so much better and why many changes must be made to get back to the playoffs next year.

Oh what a night!

Posted by Steve

That was incredibly fun.  The team played well, looked good and actually won a playoff game.  I honestly couldn’t believe what I was watching in the first couple innings.  They were laying off close pitches, working the count and taking walks.  They frustrated Jamie Moyer by not swinging at balls, and his pitch count shot up.  61 pitches after two innings; 90 pitches after four.  It was, in a word, beautiful.

Time for some frustrating numbers in the series.  The Brewers’ bullpen has allowed zero earned runs in 12 innings this series, and the Phillies have only scored runs in three of 27 innings! Of course, those numbers are frustrating because they imply the Brewers would be winning the series.

Suppan vs. Joe Blanton tomorrow, and I will be in attendance.  I can’t wait, even though I’m struggling to convince myself Suppan won’t get lit up.  If the Brewers can find a way to win this game, it will set up an amazing Game 5 match-up of CC Sabathia against Cole Hamels.  That would be just awesome to watch.

———————

Except it didn’t.  Again.

I am surprisingly taking less enjoyment out of the Cubs losing than I figured.  Last year they weren’t a very good team, and I was very pleased to see them get worked over by Arizona in the playoffs.  This year is different, though.  The Cubs had 97 wins and were the best team in the National League.  You could argue (ok, I have argued) that the Cubs’ record was inflated a bit by guys have career years (Theriot, Dempster, Fontenot, etc) but they were still a very good team.

This team was expected to go to the World Series, which is why I feel just a tiny bit bad.  Don’t get me wrong; I am thrilled those awful Cub “fans” who come to Milwaukee and taunt Brewer fans for nine innings are crushed tonight, but I feel really bad for die-hard, passionate Cub fans.  I have to imagine this is especially brutal for those fans tonight.

This goes to show how much of a crapshoot baseball playoffs really are–Anything can happen, particularly in a short series.  The 2000 Brewers would have a chance against the 1927 Yankees in a short playoff series, because even the best team will beat the worst fairly regularly.  It’s the nature of baseball, which is why I just shake my head at people overreacting to the results of playoff performance.

I happened to be listening to a bit of Chicago sports radio tonight, and that’s exactly what was going on.  Alfonso Soriano is “a dog,” Aramis Ramirez chokes and Ryan Theriot didn’t show up.  The best was when “baseball insider” Bruce Levine said the Cubs “aren’t good enough to win in October.”  Huh?  They may be the best team in baseball.  They are undoubtedly good enough to win in October.  Just because they didn’t does not make that any less true.

Here’s the deal

Posted by Steve

Alright.  Down 2-0.  The Brewers have to win today to keep their season alive, but they also have to win for this reason.  It just would not be right if the Brewers made the playoffs and I did not attend a playoff game at Miller Park.  I have tickets to Sunday’s game, which means the Brewers have to win today so I can see the game tomorrow.  But if they do win today, they absolutely have to win tomorrow, because I can’t see them get eliminated in person, right?  Of course.  But then if they win today and tomorrow and tie the series at two, they might as well go ahead and win Gam 5 in Philly as well, because, well that would just suck to reinstate that hope only to have them lose after coming all the way back.

So basically, they only reasonable scenario is for the Brewers to win the entire series, right?  ;)

At least I had a break for one game

Posted by Steve

Not a great game yesterday, but after a couple innings you could pretty much see how it was going to go.  The Brewers just weren’t going to get more than a run or two off Hamels the way he was pitching, and as it turned out they got none.  Yo’s control was a bit off, and the defense just killed them again.  After looking at Cameron’s play again, I have come to the conclusion that it would have been a great play.  The wind was really crazy at the time, and that ball was smoked straight over his head.  It was very difficult to read.

Hall and Weeks on the other hand–that play just killed the Brewers.  Hall bobbled what would have been a double play, and then Weeks dropped a ball that would have been an embarrassing play for a Little Leaguer.

The offense overall did a nice job against Brad Lidge, but we’re at the point where that doesn’t matter anymore.  I don’t like hearing “well they couldn’t tie the game, but at least Lidge threw 32 pitches.”  The most that will affect Lidge for is today’s game, and I imagine he’ll still be available with a day off tomorrow.  Sorry, but that’s no consolation for me.  They had him on the ropes, and they couldn’t quite do it.  If Hart doesn’t swing threw a fastball right over the heart of the plate, they may have recreated the mental meltdown Lidge had after Pujols knocked the train off the track in Houston.  Think about it… The guy was 41 for 41 in save opportunities all year, and then he blows a three-run lead in the first playoff game?  It could have bee devastating.

But, nothing to do but move on.  The outstanding game by Cole Hamels was the number one reason the Brewers lost yesterday, so you can’t be too upset about it.  They just need to do a better job against Brett Myers.

By the way, it may have been easy to overlook the job the bullpen did yesterday, particularly Carlos Villanueva.  Man, he is good in relief.

Obviously (By the way, new drinking game: Drink every time Dale Sveum uses says the word ‘obviously’ in his post-game interview.  I strongly advise against playing this game with hard alcohol.) I expect a good game from CC, but Craig Counsell was correct when he said yesterday that the Brewers can’t keep counting on him to win the game single-handedly, because one of these days he’s going to be human again.  They can’t keep scoring 1-3 runs in his outings and expect to win every time.

Another must-win game for the Brewers… I don’t handle these well, but the team has been lately.  Yesterday was the first game they’ve had in over a week that wasn’t a must-win, and it was also the first one they lost.  It was nice for me to have a break from that for one game, but now we’re right back in the nervous wreck zone.  My brother and I agreed before the series the winner would either be the Brewers in five games or the Phillies in four, so today is one they need to have.  Win today, split in Milwaukee and take your chances with CC again in game five.

Come on Crew!  Turn up the heat!

Check out these pajamas!

Posted by Steve

It’s been just about impossible to find any national writer or “expert” who isn’t picking the Phillies, but lo and behold!  Take a gander at BP’s postseason odds!  They give the Brewers a 54.8% chance of winning the series.  Additionally, they give the Brewers a 7.5% chance of winning the World Series.  That isn’t great, but BP still has them as the fifth-most likely team to win it all.

Little over an hour away.  I am giddy as can be.  It’s the first time in about ten days that I’m excited for a game instead of a complete nervous wreck.  If the Brewers can steal this game, I love their chances to take the series.

GO CREW!