Posted by Steve
I’m not going to officially criticize the Brewers’ hire of Ron Roenicke before I’ve even seen him manage, but I’m not crazy about hiring someone from the Angels. The Angels play the type of baseball I can’t stand to watch: crappy hitters at the top of the order who can’t get on base (and when they do, they often get caught stealing).
Say what you want about Macha, but I thought the best thing about him was his realization that bunting, along with stealing at a rate below 75%, is harmful to your chances of winning. Last year the Brewers had 81 stolen bases to 26 caught stealings–a 75.7% clip. Running was not a part of their game, but they were efficient and didn’t make outs on the basepaths.
The Angels are a different story. They stole 104 bases, but were caught 52 times–just a 66.6% rate. Yet when you hear people praise the Angels, you hear things like “They put pressure on the defense,” and “They’re aggressive. They don’t sit back and wait for home runs,” as if home runs are a bad thing. It’s absurd.
Like I said, I’m not going to rip him before he gets here, but let’s just say I’m leery. People like to complain about the Brewers “sitting around waiting for home runs,” but they were fourth in the NL in runs scored this season and third last season. The offense ain’t broke, so let’s not fix it.
EDIT: You know what creates more runs than stolen bases? On-base percentage and home runs. There is no correlation between stolen bases and runs scored. I got so sick of reading so many people on Brewerfan criticizing “Standing around waiting for a home run” that I did this bit of research. It only proves that there is no correlation whatsoever between stolen bases and runs scored. There is a strong one, however, between runs scored and both home runs and walks.
NL Stolen Base Leaders
2010: 13th in runs scored (Mets)
2009: 12th in runs scored (Mets)
2008: 8th in runs scored (Rockies)
2007: 4th in runs scored (Mets)
2006: 3rd in runs scored (Mets)
2005: 7th in runs scored (Mets)
NL Walk Leaders
2010: 5th in runs scored (Braves)
2009: 2nd in runs scored (Rockies)
2008: 1st in runs scored (Cubs)
2007: 1st in runs scored (Phillies)
2006: 1st in runs scored (Phillies)
2005: 2nd in runs scored (Phillies)
NL Home Run Leaders
2010: 1st in runs scored (Reds)
2009: 1st in runs scored (Phillies)
2008: Tied for 2nd in runs scored (Phillies)
2007: 5th in runs scored (Brewers)
2006: 2nd in runs scored (Braves)
2005: 1st in runs scored (Reds)