Tag Archives: Juan Francisco

Which decision is worse?

Posted by Steve

We’re getting tantalizingly close to MLB’s regular season, but my enthusiasm has been curbed a bit by two curious decisions made by the Brewers over the last few days.

The first is the result of the least exciting first base competition in recent memory (except for last season). The Brewers have shipped out Juan Francisco, opting instead to keep the Ageless Wonder, Lyle Overbay.

That’s actually a poor nickname for Overbay, because he hasn’t resembled a wonder in several years. His last season with an OPS+ over 100 was 2010. Wrap your mind around this: Overbay has been below replacement level the last three years! At age 37, it’s amazing that a team was even willing to invite him to Spring Training, much less keep him on a freaking 25-man roster.

I know Juan Francisco isn’t a barnburner, but he was at least something that could have ended up as a pleasant surprise. That was within the realm of possibility. He can do things that Overbay can’t, such as hit a baseball hard or with any power whatsoever. The Brewers are using defense as an excuse, but first base is a position you need offense from. To put it in a different way–both of their floors are in the basement, but at least Francisco’s ceiling is off the ground. This is an inexplicable move. If Overbay is on the roster for more than a month, something is seriously wrong.

The other move that makes no sense was handed down by Runnin’ Ron himself. Actually, the only reason it isn’t shocking is because Roenicke made the decision. Say hello to Carlos Gomez, your new leadoff hitter for your Milwaukee Brewers.

Gomez had an excellent year last year–the best of his career, by far. And in his career year, his on-base percentage was still not good enough to hit leadoff. His OBP was .338 last year, but just the year prior, it was .305! And even after last year, his career mark is .303.

Carlos Gomez is multi-talented, but just about the one baseball skill he does not have is on-base ability. It just so happens that on-base ability is the single-most important trait of a good leadoff hitter.

As Ron Roenicke mentioned, no, they don’t have Shin-Soo Choo on their team. But that doesn’t excuse this decision. Rickie Weeks (or Scooter Gennett), Jean Segura, or Jonathan Lucroy all would be better options at leadoff than Gomez, because they each are likely to have better OBPs.

These are admittedly not major decisions in the grand scheme, and each is correctable fairly early in the season. It is just frustrating at this point because there is nothing that makes either one a good bet at this time.

No more half measures

Posted by Steve

The latest in the “the Brewers have no long-term plan” theme, they missed out on re-signing Corey Hart today. Hart would have been a nice option for first base this year, but oh well. So, now what?

Really, only two things should be options for the Brewers.

The first is to make a big play for a true difference maker at first base. Considering they really have no trade chips left at the big league level (that they’re willing to move, anyway), and that their farm system is bad, this isn’t a viable option. No point in dwelling, then.

The only other option should be to make due with what they have. They could platoon Sean Halton and Juan Francisco. They could give Mat Gamel a shot, which would be very cheap. While doing this, they could wait and see if Hunter Morris turns into anything (I have just about no hope for Morris, but that’s another story).

My preference would actually be to move a current starter to first base. Either Aramis Ramirez or Ryan Braun would benefit from a move to first base, as it would help them stay healthy. Between Caleb Gindl, Logan Schafer, Kentrail Davis, or other cheaply acquired corner outfielders, they could fill right field.

Either make a huge move for a true difference-making first baseman, or make due with what you have. Those are the only two viable options.

So why, then, does it feel like they’re about to do neither?

I am bracing myself for the Brewers to do something foolish, like giving James Loney a multi-year contract, or trading young pitching for Ike Davis. Neither one would make sense given the talent level of the team, but both fit perfectly with the M.O. of the Mark Attanasio regime.

Trading for Ike Davis wouldn’t be a bad move if the Brewers were one more hitter away from true contention. But, much like with the acquisition of Kyle Lohse last year, that isn’t the case. Giving up someone like Tyler Thornburg for Davis would be a dumb move.

Similarly, signing James Loney to a two-year, or God forbid three-year contract would be just as dumb. First of all, the Brewers have no business giving a merely decent veteran who plays the easiest position on the field a multi-year deal.

Secondly, it is far from a given that Loney would even be an upgrade over a Francisco/Halton platoon. Loney’s career OPS is .761, which is nothing special at all for a first baseman.

There is no good reason to trade for or give a multi-year contract to an average first baseman. But there was also no good reason to forfeit a draft pick to sign Kyle Lohse or give an injury-prone, aging Aramis Ramirez a three-year deal.

“No good reason” hasn’t saved the Brewers from themselves in the recent past, and it just feels like it won’t this time, either.